The University of Arizona

Developing Testing and Evaluating Scenario Planning for the Nevada BLM | CCASS


A new website focused on Scenario Planning for Climate Adaptation,, has been developed by CCASS and the DOI Southwest Climate Science Center. 

About Us

CCASS/NNCAP welcomes Valerie Small!

Dr. Valerie Small (Apsaalooke'-Crow) has joined the Native Nations Climate Adaptation Program as an Assistant Research Scientist. Dr. Small will be working with Tribes in the Southwest Region in collaboration with CCASS and NNCAP within the Institute of the Environment as well as the Southwest Climate Science Center (SW CSC). She will develop and deliver educational training modules to increase their environmental technical capacity in preparing for, as well as predicting near-term/future effects of climate change.

Prior to joining the UA, Valerie was a training consultant with Colorado State University, Natural Resource Ecology Lab (NREL), working with the North Central Climate Science Center. Her experience includes developing and conducting training and research to support North American Indigenous Tribes adaptation planning efforts to prepare for the effects of a warming climate.  

Developing Testing and Evaluating Scenario Planning for the Nevada BLM

Photo Credit: 
BLM Nevada
Lunar Crater National Natural Landmark, Nevada.
Lead CCASS Contact: 

Using the Central Great Basin Rapid Ecological Assessment (REA) data, this project aims to 1) develop best management practices for using scenario planning methods in adaptation planning and 2) identify how these methods may be integrated into existing regulatory planning processes.

The project integrates two scenario-planning processes, Adaptation for Conservation Targets (ACT) and Strategic Scenario Planning (SSP) into a series of webinars and workshop to address and identify:

  • how scenario planning approaches can best incorporate information from REAs
  • how scenario planning outcomes connect with existing management planning processes to best incorporate them into existing BLM adaptive management practices
  • the most appropriate uses for ACT and SSP methods
  • the most robust measures to evaluate scenario planning effectiveness and successful implementation.

Status and primary funding:
Phase 1: BLM, 2013-2014
Phase 2: NOAA, 2014-2016

Desert Research Institute

Additional info: